Dengue Modelling Consortium

Dengue virus, spread by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes, has an expanding geographic range, with increasingly large and disruptive outbreaks. In September 2023, WHO declared dengue a Grade 3 emergency, due to dramatically increasing and high levels of transmission in many countries. There are promising interventions in the pipeline for dengue. The increase in cases and the new interventions mean we are at an important time for dengue research. Modelling can be of great use in supporting decisions about where and when to use these new interventions. To achieve this, we propose a dengue modelling consortium, with close links to global and national policy makers, formed of leading dengue modelling groups, with the inclusion of new modelling groups from disease endemic areas. With this consortium, we will develop methods, models, and a knowledge base to inform national, subnational, and global decision-making. We will ensure greater modelling representation from disease-endemic countries to support these decisions.